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Prediction markets

11 active markets · category “Fed”

How to trade
Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

October Meeting
October Meeting61%
September Meeting
September Meeting53%3 more
$1.86MVol. Oct 29fed
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

No change69%
25 bps increase23%3 more
$417KVol. Oct 28fed
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Other
Other53%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Pause45%7 more
$653KVol. Sep 16fed
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

1 (25 bps)41%
0 (0 bps)29%4 more
$97KVol. Dec 31fed
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

0
19%YesNo
1
17%YesNo
$3.5KVol. Dec 9fed
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Other
Other64%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Pause32%7 more
$608KVol. Oct 28fed
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

No change
No change57%
25 bps increase
25 bps increase38%3 more
$1.3KVol. Dec 9fed
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

No change
No change56%
25 bps increase
25 bps increase24%3 more
$806.54Vol. Jan 27fed
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

3%

chance

YesNo
$753.44Vol. Dec 31fed
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

3%

chance

YesNo
$318KVol. Dec 31fed
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

9%

chance

YesNo
$5.9KVol. Dec 31fed